商億-KY（8482）股票可以買嗎？K線圖AI分析回答目標合理價
K線圖與股價本日交易資訊
資料日期： ，每天14:00後更新。
| 開 | 高 | 低 | 收 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51.3 | 51.3 | 49.25 | 49.25 |
查看每日股價資訊表格
| 日期 | 開盤價 | 最高價 | 最低價 | 收盤價 | 成交量 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/05/07 | 66 | 66 | 63.5 | 63.8 | 211 |
| 2025/05/08 | 63.8 | 65.9 | 63.8 | 65.8 | 41 |
| 2025/05/09 | 66.6 | 66.6 | 65.4 | 65.8 | 7 |
| 2025/05/12 | 66.1 | 67.2 | 66.1 | 67 | 23 |
| 2025/05/13 | 68.1 | 68.1 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 27 |
| 2025/05/14 | 66.7 | 67.2 | 65 | 65.5 | 210 |
| 2025/05/15 | 67.4 | 67.4 | 64.1 | 64.6 | 93 |
| 2025/05/16 | 64.6 | 65.4 | 64.3 | 64.4 | 43 |
| 2025/05/19 | 64.1 | 65.5 | 64 | 64.4 | 10 |
| 2025/05/20 | 64.4 | 64.4 | 63.2 | 63.2 | 97 |
| 2025/05/21 | 63.2 | 64.7 | 63.1 | 63.3 | 27 |
| 2025/05/22 | 63.2 | 63.3 | 63.1 | 63.1 | 14 |
| 2025/05/23 | 62.6 | 63.1 | 62.6 | 63.1 | 17 |
| 2025/05/26 | 63.9 | 64.2 | 63.1 | 63.1 | 64 |
| 2025/05/27 | 63.7 | 63.7 | 63.7 | 63.7 | 6 |
| 2025/05/28 | 63.8 | 63.8 | 62.5 | 62.5 | 38 |
| 2025/05/29 | 62.2 | 63.7 | 62.2 | 62.7 | 40 |
| 2025/06/02 | 62.4 | 62.7 | 60 | 60.5 | 70 |
| 2025/06/03 | 61.7 | 61.7 | 59.6 | 59.6 | 93 |
| 2025/06/04 | 60.6 | 60.6 | 59.3 | 59.4 | 114 |
| 2025/06/05 | 59.4 | 60.9 | 59.4 | 59.5 | 49 |
| 2025/06/06 | 59.6 | 60.3 | 59.4 | 59.4 | 45 |
| 2025/06/09 | 59.3 | 59.3 | 56.5 | 58 | 184 |
| 2025/06/10 | 58 | 60.3 | 58 | 59.4 | 52 |
| 2025/06/11 | 58.4 | 59.4 | 58.1 | 59.1 | 67 |
| 2025/06/12 | 59.1 | 60 | 59 | 59.1 | 15 |
| 2025/06/13 | 58.1 | 58.5 | 58.1 | 58.2 | 30 |
| 2025/06/16 | 58.2 | 60 | 57.1 | 58.7 | 62 |
| 2025/06/17 | 58.7 | 58.7 | 58.5 | 58.7 | 22 |
| 2025/06/18 | 58.7 | 58.7 | 57.6 | 57.9 | 28 |
| 2025/06/19 | 57.5 | 57.9 | 57.2 | 57.2 | 344 |
| 2025/06/20 | 57.4 | 58 | 56.7 | 57 | 38 |
| 2025/06/23 | 57 | 57.2 | 56 | 57 | 47 |
| 2025/06/24 | 57 | 59.9 | 56.5 | 58.6 | 54 |
| 2025/06/25 | 59.5 | 59.9 | 58.9 | 58.9 | 40 |
| 2025/06/26 | 59 | 64.6 | 59 | 62.4 | 207 |
| 2025/06/27 | 62.4 | 62.5 | 61 | 61 | 120 |
| 2025/06/30 | 60.8 | 61.2 | 60.4 | 60.4 | 41 |
| 2025/07/01 | 60.4 | 63.6 | 60.4 | 63 | 93 |
| 2025/07/02 | 58 | 58.8 | 57.5 | 57.8 | 55 |
| 2025/07/03 | 57.7 | 58.2 | 57.4 | 57.9 | 35 |
| 2025/07/04 | 57.5 | 57.8 | 56.9 | 56.9 | 45 |
| 2025/07/07 | 57 | 57 | 55 | 56 | 21 |
| 2025/07/08 | 55.1 | 55.4 | 55 | 55 | 48 |
| 2025/07/09 | 55 | 55.5 | 55 | 55.5 | 13 |
| 2025/07/10 | 54.3 | 54.7 | 53.6 | 53.6 | 37 |
| 2025/07/11 | 54 | 55.5 | 54 | 54.6 | 20 |
| 2025/07/14 | 54.7 | 54.7 | 52.8 | 52.8 | 57 |
| 2025/07/15 | 53.9 | 53.9 | 51.6 | 51.6 | 60 |
| 2025/07/16 | 52.8 | 52.8 | 52 | 52.1 | 56 |
| 2025/07/17 | 53.8 | 53.9 | 53 | 53 | 17 |
| 2025/07/18 | 53.3 | 53.4 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 13 |
| 2025/07/21 | 53.5 | 53.5 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 13 |
| 2025/07/22 | 52.5 | 52.9 | 51.2 | 51.5 | 25 |
| 2025/07/23 | 52.1 | 52.1 | 51.6 | 52.1 | 39 |
| 2025/07/24 | 52.2 | 52.5 | 52.1 | 52.5 | 5 |
| 2025/07/25 | 52.4 | 52.4 | 51.5 | 51.5 | 47 |
| 2025/07/29 | 52 | 52 | 51.2 | 51.7 | 25 |
| 2025/07/30 | 51.9 | 52.5 | 51.8 | 52.2 | 10 |
| 2025/07/31 | 52.2 | 54 | 52.1 | 53.6 | 31 |
| 2025/08/01 | 53.8 | 57.5 | 53.8 | 55.8 | 70 |
| 2025/08/04 | 56 | 56.6 | 55.8 | 56.6 | 17 |
| 2025/08/05 | 58 | 59.3 | 57.4 | 58.7 | 59 |
| 2025/08/06 | 58.7 | 58.7 | 56.8 | 58.1 | 25 |
| 2025/08/07 | 58.1 | 58.6 | 58 | 58.3 | 13 |
| 2025/08/08 | 58.3 | 59 | 58.1 | 58.1 | 31 |
| 2025/08/11 | 58.1 | 58.1 | 57 | 57.3 | 30 |
| 2025/08/12 | 58.5 | 59.1 | 57.3 | 58.2 | 20 |
| 2025/08/13 | 58.3 | 58.3 | 58 | 58.1 | 8 |
| 2025/08/14 | 58.1 | 58.1 | 58.1 | 58.1 | 9 |
| 2025/08/18 | 58.1 | 59.5 | 58.1 | 58.3 | 16 |
| 2025/08/19 | 58.4 | 59.1 | 58.3 | 58.4 | 19 |
| 2025/08/20 | 58.4 | 58.4 | 58.3 | 58.4 | 14 |
| 2025/08/21 | 58.5 | 58.5 | 57.2 | 57.2 | 94 |
| 2025/08/22 | 57.2 | 58.4 | 56.8 | 57.8 | 54 |
| 2025/08/25 | 57.8 | 57.8 | 54.5 | 55.3 | 157 |
| 2025/08/26 | 56.9 | 56.9 | 55.1 | 55.1 | 23 |
| 2025/08/27 | 55.1 | 56 | 53.9 | 54.1 | 155 |
| 2025/08/28 | 56 | 56 | 54.6 | 54.6 | 51 |
| 2025/08/29 | 54.6 | 54.6 | 52.3 | 54.6 | 50 |
| 2025/09/01 | 53.4 | 54 | 52.8 | 54 | 8 |
| 2025/09/02 | 52.8 | 53.5 | 52.7 | 52.9 | 11 |
| 2025/09/03 | 52.7 | 52.7 | 52.3 | 52.5 | 14 |
| 2025/09/04 | 54.2 | 54.2 | 53.4 | 53.7 | 18 |
| 2025/09/05 | 53.7 | 54.5 | 53.7 | 53.7 | 24 |
| 2025/09/08 | 53.7 | 54 | 52.9 | 53.1 | 36 |
| 2025/09/09 | 53.1 | 53.5 | 53 | 53 | 26 |
| 2025/09/10 | 53.1 | 53.1 | 52.7 | 53 | 19 |
| 2025/09/11 | 53.1 | 53.4 | 53 | 53 | 13 |
| 2025/09/12 | 54 | 54 | 53 | 53 | 17 |
| 2025/09/15 | 54.2 | 54.2 | 52.6 | 52.9 | 13 |
| 2025/09/16 | 53.6 | 53.6 | 53 | 53 | 18 |
| 2025/09/17 | 53.5 | 53.9 | 53 | 53 | 85 |
| 2025/09/18 | 53 | 53.2 | 53 | 53 | 10 |
| 2025/09/19 | 53 | 53.4 | 52.7 | 53.4 | 40 |
| 2025/09/22 | 53.4 | 53.4 | 53.1 | 53.2 | 32 |
| 2025/09/23 | 52.6 | 54.7 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 46 |
| 2025/09/24 | 52.7 | 53 | 52.7 | 52.7 | 23 |
| 2025/09/25 | 53 | 54 | 52.7 | 53.2 | 14 |
| 2025/09/26 | 54 | 54 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 12 |
| 2025/09/30 | 53.2 | 53.2 | 52.4 | 52.4 | 14 |
| 2025/10/01 | 53.1 | 53.2 | 52.2 | 53.2 | 13 |
| 2025/10/02 | 53.2 | 53.2 | 52.9 | 52.9 | 9 |
| 2025/10/03 | 52.8 | 52.8 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 15 |
| 2025/10/07 | 52.5 | 52.6 | 52.3 | 52.3 | 18 |
| 2025/10/08 | 53.4 | 53.4 | 52.3 | 52.3 | 11 |
| 2025/10/09 | 53.2 | 53.3 | 53 | 53.3 | 13 |
| 2025/10/13 | 53.1 | 53.1 | 52 | 52.2 | 76 |
| 2025/10/14 | 52.3 | 52.3 | 51.6 | 51.6 | 72 |
| 2025/10/15 | 52.9 | 52.9 | 51.2 | 51.5 | 56 |
| 2025/10/16 | 52.6 | 52.6 | 51.7 | 51.8 | 11 |
| 2025/10/17 | 51.6 | 51.7 | 51.5 | 51.5 | 32 |
| 2025/10/20 | 52.4 | 56.5 | 51.5 | 53.3 | 70 |
| 2025/10/21 | 53.3 | 53.9 | 53.1 | 53.1 | 37 |
| 2025/10/22 | 53.1 | 53.2 | 51.6 | 52.2 | 52 |
| 2025/10/23 | 52.2 | 52.2 | 51.7 | 51.8 | 17 |
| 2025/10/27 | 53.7 | 53.7 | 51.2 | 51.2 | 40 |
| 2025/10/28 | 52.7 | 52.7 | 50.5 | 50.6 | 44 |
| 2025/10/29 | 50.3 | 50.3 | 49.5 | 49.8 | 39 |
| 2025/10/30 | 51.3 | 51.3 | 49.25 | 49.25 | 30 |
AI的K線圖分析和操作建議
以下內容由AI生成：
點擊查看。AI建議自動產生於：，輸入：市場模型。 商億-KY (8482) 股價走勢分析與操作建議 未來趨勢…
商億-KY (8482) 股價走勢分析與操作建議
未來趨勢判斷與理由
基於商億-KY (8482) 在過去 90 天的股價走勢圖，目前觀察到股價處於明顯的下跌趨勢之中。主要依據為：
- 長期均線壓制： MA20（黃線）持續下彎，且多次對股價形成有效壓制，顯示空方力量佔優。MA5（綠線）亦多數時間位於 MA20 下方，並隨著 MA20 一同向下移動，進一步確認了下降趨勢的確立。
- 近期股價表現： 即使在偶爾出現反彈時，股價也未能有效突破 MA20 的阻力，且反彈的幅度有限，隨後又重回下降軌道。
- 價格區間下移： 股價從圖表初期的 68 元附近，一路震盪走低，近期已探至 50 元附近，整體價格區間呈現明顯的下移。
- 成交量變化： 雖然成交量波動，但並未出現持續放大的積極信號來支撐反彈。在近期下跌過程中，成交量偶爾放大，但並未扭轉跌勢。
綜合以上觀察，預計未來數天至數週，商億-KY 的股價仍有持續下跌的可能，直至出現明確的止跌信號或基本面出現重大轉變。
未來目標價格區間預測
考量到目前股價已接近圖表所示的最低點 51 元附近，且從 2025 年 9 月中旬以來，股價一直在 51-54 元之間進行窄幅盤整，但 MA20 仍向下延伸，顯示空方壓力猶存。因此，若下跌趨勢延續，預計短期內可能測試 48-50 元 的價格區間。
操作建議
對於散戶投資人而言，「商億-KY (8482) 可以買嗎？」這個問題，基於目前的技術面分析，不建議在此時進場買入。
理由如下：
- 風險較高： 股價處於明確的下降趨勢，進場買入可能面臨進一步下跌的風險，導致帳面虧損擴大。
- 缺乏反彈跡象： 圖表中並未顯示出足夠強勁的買盤力量或技術指標上的反轉信號。
- 謹慎觀望為宜： 投資人應保持謹慎，等待股價出現明確的止跌跡象，例如股價成功站穩並突破重要的均線（MA5、MA20）壓制，或者出現持續放大的成交量配合上漲。
若投資人已持有該股票，建議以嚴格的停損為原則。可以考慮在股價跌破關鍵支撐位（例如近期的低點 51 元）時，考慮減碼或停損出場，以避免更大的損失。
若您對該股票的基本面有深入了解，並認為其價值被低估，則可考慮採取分批布局、嚴設停損的方式。但單從技術圖表判斷，當前並非進場的良好時機。
總結與重申
總結而言，商億-KY (8482) 目前呈現明顯的空頭趨勢，預計未來數天至數週股價仍有下跌壓力，可能測試 48-50 元 的價格區間。對於散戶投資人，建議暫緩買入，以謹慎觀望為主，並嚴設停損點。待市場出現更明確的多頭反轉信號時，再行評估進場機會。
股權分散表
查看每日股權分散表表格
| 日期 | 100張以下持股比例 | 100~1000張持股比例 | 1000張以上持股比例 | 總股東人數 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/09/20 | 3.07% | 5.91% | 90.95% | 1,075 |
| 2024/09/27 | 3.07% | 5.91% | 90.95% | 1,075 |
| 2024/10/04 | 3.07% | 5.91% | 90.95% | 1,079 |
| 2024/10/11 | 3.09% | 5.91% | 90.95% | 1,078 |
| 2024/10/18 | 3.09% | 5.89% | 90.95% | 1,070 |
| 2024/10/25 | 3.08% | 5.89% | 90.95% | 1,072 |
| 2024/11/01 | 3.08% | 5.89% | 90.95% | 1,069 |
| 2024/11/08 | 3.06% | 5.9% | 90.95% | 1,065 |
| 2024/11/15 | 3.08% | 5.9% | 90.95% | 1,063 |
| 2024/11/22 | 3.04% | 5.9% | 90.96% | 1,059 |
| 2024/11/29 | 3.06% | 5.9% | 90.96% | 1,060 |
| 2024/12/06 | 3.04% | 5.91% | 90.96% | 1,060 |
| 2024/12/13 | 3.06% | 5.91% | 90.96% | 1,060 |
| 2024/12/20 | 2.68% | 6.28% | 90.99% | 1,041 |
| 2024/12/27 | 2.53% | 6.24% | 91.16% | 956 |
| 2025/01/03 | 2.59% | 6.25% | 91.08% | 962 |
| 2025/01/10 | 2.56% | 6.08% | 91.29% | 953 |
| 2025/01/17 | 2.88% | 6.39% | 90.67% | 1,044 |
| 2025/01/22 | 2.77% | 7.25% | 89.91% | 1,111 |
| 2025/02/07 | 2.87% | 6.31% | 90.75% | 1,111 |
| 2025/02/14 | 2.89% | 6.84% | 90.2% | 1,122 |
| 2025/02/21 | 2.98% | 6.9% | 90.06% | 1,157 |
| 2025/02/27 | 2.87% | 6.82% | 90.24% | 1,130 |
| 2025/03/07 | 2.84% | 6.93% | 90.14% | 1,132 |
| 2025/03/14 | 2.96% | 7.03% | 89.94% | 1,120 |
| 2025/03/21 | 2.99% | 7.01% | 89.91% | 1,122 |
| 2025/03/28 | 2.99% | 7% | 89.95% | 1,103 |
| 2025/04/02 | 2.81% | 7.18% | 89.92% | 1,077 |
| 2025/04/11 | 2.97% | 6.79% | 90.19% | 1,111 |
| 2025/04/18 | 2.86% | 6.93% | 90.16% | 1,117 |
| 2025/04/25 | 2.9% | 6.86% | 90.16% | 1,120 |
| 2025/05/02 | 3.06% | 6.7% | 90.16% | 1,122 |
| 2025/05/09 | 3.08% | 6.69% | 90.15% | 1,136 |
| 2025/05/16 | 3.11% | 6.68% | 90.15% | 1,145 |
| 2025/05/23 | 2.94% | 6.85% | 90.15% | 1,153 |
| 2025/05/29 | 2.92% | 6.85% | 90.15% | 1,147 |
| 2025/06/06 | 3% | 6.3% | 90.62% | 1,178 |
| 2025/06/13 | 3% | 6.29% | 90.62% | 1,166 |
| 2025/06/20 | 3% | 6.31% | 90.62% | 1,170 |
| 2025/06/27 | 3.15% | 6.14% | 90.63% | 1,197 |
| 2025/07/04 | 3.27% | 6.03% | 90.63% | 1,188 |
| 2025/07/11 | 3.27% | 6.02% | 90.62% | 1,182 |
| 2025/07/18 | 3.2% | 6.11% | 90.62% | 1,189 |
| 2025/07/25 | 3.21% | 6.09% | 90.62% | 1,192 |
| 2025/08/01 | 3.22% | 6.1% | 90.62% | 1,188 |
| 2025/08/08 | 3.3% | 6.02% | 90.62% | 1,177 |
| 2025/08/15 | 3.28% | 6.03% | 90.62% | 1,162 |
| 2025/08/22 | 3.24% | 6.05% | 90.62% | 1,175 |
| 2025/08/29 | 3.21% | 6.1% | 90.62% | 1,158 |
| 2025/09/05 | 3.09% | 6.22% | 90.62% | 1,154 |
| 2025/09/12 | 3.19% | 6.11% | 90.62% | 1,154 |
| 2025/09/19 | 3.18% | 6.13% | 90.62% | 1,179 |
| 2025/09/26 | 3.14% | 6.16% | 90.62% | 1,172 |
| 2025/10/03 | 3.13% | 6.16% | 90.62% | 1,171 |
| 2025/10/09 | 3.15% | 6.17% | 90.62% | 1,165 |
| 2025/10/17 | 3.11% | 6.18% | 90.63% | 1,145 |
| 2025/10/23 | 3.24% | 6.06% | 90.63% | 1,127 |
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